Really cool what you are working on here - It’s not labelled but I know this is GME.
If you include the additional DRS data point that we have from 4/21/23 (from the Stockholder List viewing) does that effect the estimation?
Yeah, had to adjust the multiplier downwards as time moved forward:
- 6/1/2023 row: change multiplier to 76,600,000 / 17,928,960 = 4.272
- 4/21/2023 row: shareholder list was 76,265,982. change multiplier to 76,265,982 / 17,549,016 = 4.345
So using x4.272 right now, and have a x4.269 column for more conservative estimate.
Edit: And didn’t go back and adjust stuff after the GME Omnibus account 78,012 shares was discovered. Will just go with x4.272 for now as I’m lazy. :)
Edit 2: I see I placed this post in the wrong community. :\ So double posted to drs your gme. Will figure out this lemmy thing eventually!
No problem! I’m learning it myself! Appreciate your breakdown and your helping grow this instance with your content!
Do you have an estimated DRS share amount? I’m using the book transaction # from my AST statements to trying and estimate shares DRSed from May 5th onward. There were about 9 million shares DRSed by my count on the 5/5/23 docket #219. I can use the average shares DRSed times the increase in Book Trasactions to come up with an estimate.
7/21/2023 Estimated DRS count: 76,969,713 (using DRSbot total x 4.272)
7/21/2023 Minus 1.2m Mainstar: 75,699,147
From 4/21/2023 to 6/1/2023 doesn’t appear to be too much DRS action: see https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/144wxeb/drs_numbers_timeline/
4/21/2023 ledger to 6/1/2023 10-Q was: +334,018 DRS in ~5 weeks
From https://www.reddit.com/user/lovetoburst/comments/14gcorz/612023_average_drs_per_day/
The average DRS per day was:
- 3/22/2023 to 4/21/2023: 8,866
- 4/21/2023 to 6/1/2023: 8,147
- 5/5/23 17,613,006 -> 75,242,761
- 5/24/23 17,868,312 -> 76,333,429
- 6/5/23 17,939,071 -> 76,635,711
- 6/20/23 17,976,377 -> 76,795,083 -> 75,524,517 (-1.2m Mainstar)
- 7/21/23 18,017,255 -> 76,969,713 -> 75,699,147 (-1.2m Mainstar)