• Wilzax@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    If you’re in a state that will certainly be blue or red and has 0% chance of swinging unless a huge proportion of the population changes their party affiliation (California, New York, Mississippi, Alabama, to name a few) then vote 3rd party, sure.

    If your state was within 10% of flipping colors in any of the past 3 presidential elections, DO NOT vote 3rd party. Your vote matters too much to risk it.

    • HomerianSymphony@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      Yeah, that’s the conventional wisdom. When Ross Perot ran, most of his support came from states that weren’t swing states.

      (Despite often being called a “spoiler”, he probably had little impact on the result of the election because of that.)

      But! Later polls showed that 35% of voters would have voted for Perot if they thought he could win. And if all those people had voted for Perot, he would have won!

      Just something to think about.

      • Wilzax@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        If we could somehow ensure that our actual desires were reflected by our votes without simultaneously risking our vote being wasted by splitting support between similar candidates, we could have actual representative democracy. But we all have a duty to prevent the worst to the best of our ability, even at the sacrifice of our support of what we think would be best, but unlikely.

        Vote for ranked choice voting however you can. This paradox is intentional design, not an unforeseen consequence. We need to rework the voting system before things have any chance to get better without violent revolution.

        • HomerianSymphony@lemmy.world
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          5 months ago

          It’s actually been mathematically proven that ranked-choice voting does not eliminate the so-called spoiler effect. It’s called Arrow’s Impossibity Theorem.

          As people who live in a country with FPTP voting, we’re all intimately familiar with the drawbacks of FPTP voting. But all voting systems have their drawbacks.

          (I’ve actually been a volunteer election worker in a country with ranked ballots and proportional representation, and the experience actually soured me on ranked ballots and proportional representation.)

          Countries like Canada and the UK manage to have four or five parties with FPTP voting.

          Stop waiting for the perfect voting system, because there is no perfect system.